Gaming and lodging stocks are under pressure as recession risks mount, BofA Securities reports. With tariffs weighing on GDP, analysts warn of a potential 3%–8% EBITDA hit. Hotel and timeshare sectors remain the most exposed, while REITs and Gaming OpCos face heightened earnings risk. Stocks are now trading at their lowest valuations since the COVID-19 and GFC downturns.
The consequences of hurricanes like Helene and Milton are—typically—quickly shrugged aside by markets as one-off events. That is mostly correct. But not entirely so. For some companies, the revenue and earnings hits are “unrecoverable.”
